By Tara K. Miller
Siberia
has undergone dramatic climatic changes due to global warming in recent
decades. We used the Russian ‘Chronicles of Nature’ network to analyze the
long-term (1976–2018) phenological shifts in leaf out, flowering, fruiting and leaf
senescence of 67 common Siberian plant species. We found that plant phenology
is changing dramatically in this remote and under-studied region.
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Figure 1: Location of the study site by Lake Baikal, Siberia |
Siberian
boreal forest plants advanced their early season (leaf out and flowering) and
mid-season (fruiting) phenology by 2.2, 0.7 and 1.6 days per decade, and delayed
leaf senescence by 1.6 days per decade during this period.
Individual
species shifted their phenology at different rates, and these results could be
used to identify plants particularly at risk of decline due to their low
adaptive capacity or a loss of synchronization with important ecological
partners, such as pollinators or seed dispersers.
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Figure 4: Species-specific phenological shifts of 67 Siberian plants from 1976 to 2018. Dots indicate mean values, and horizontal lines are 95% confidence intervals. (a) first leaf out, (b) first flower, (c) first fruit, and (d) leaf senescence. |
This
article appeared as: Rosbakh et al. 2021. Siberian plants shift their phenology
in response to climate change. Global Change Biology. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15744
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